American - Writer | January 13, 1978 -
Voters memories will fade some.
Nate Silver
MemoriesFadeWillSomeVoters
We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.
WrongWantWayRightPredictions
To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
YourselfYouFindKnowTesting
It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis.
KindStrangeBecomeLittleAnalysis
You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
InfluenceTryingYouWantSystem
When you get into statistical analysis, you don't really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by 'The Onion' - or be the subject of a cartoon in 'The New Yorker.' I guess I'm kind of an outlier there.
InternetYouAchieveNewFameKind
You get steely nerves playing poker.
YouPokerPlayingGetNervesSteely
A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news.
NewsEntertainmentJustLot
A lot of the time nothing happens in a day.
TimeDayNothingHappensLot
I'm a pro-horserace guy.
Guy
On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves.
PeopleDataNumbersPlayMoreSee
I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
PeopleControlThinkFeelOverLike
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