American - Writer | -
Future forecasting is all about testing strategies - it's like a wind tunnel.
Jamais Cascio
FutureWindTestingTunnelLike
When we developed written language, we significantly increased our functional memory and our ability to share insights and knowledge across time and space. The same thing happened with the invention of the printing press, the telegraph, and the radio.
KnowledgeTimeMemorySpaceLanguage
Blended-reality technology could play in a limited, walled-garden world, but history suggests that it won't really take off until it offers broad freedom of use.
TechnologyFreedomHistoryWorldOff
Is there a better example of natural selection in action than 'Project Runway?'
ActionBetterProjectRunwayNatural
I don't think that a Singularity would be visible to those going through one. Even the most disruptive changes are not universally or immediately distributed, and late followers learn from the reactions and dilemmas of those who had initially encountered the disruptive change.
ChangeThinkLearnLateChanges
Sustainability is a seemingly laudable goal - it tells us we need to live within our means, whether economic, ecological, or political - but it's insufficient for uncertain times. How can we live within our means when those very means can change, swiftly and unexpectedly, beneath us?
ChangeLivePoliticalGoalNeedUs
The biggest potential and actual crises of the 21st century all have a strong, long, slow aspect with a significant lag between cause and effect. We have to train ourselves to be thinking in terms of longer-term results.
StrongThinkingPotentialSlowLong
Fluid intelligence doesn't look much like the capacity to memorise and recite facts, the skills that people have traditionally associated with brainpower.
IntelligencePeopleFactsLookLike
Futurism is almost like a vaccination. You inject a little bit of a denatured pathogen to prepare your body in case you encounter it for real.
YouBodyYour BodyRealPrepare
In entertainment, zombies are so played out. I have a gut sense that people are getting tired of apocalyptic scenarios.
TiredPeopleEntertainmentOutGut
Entrepreneurs need to recognize that, especially in the digital domain, they are unlikely to come up with something that is going to be permanently on top, that impermanence and ephemerality is the nature of the beast.
NatureBeastDigitalTopNeedUp
Trying to do what your competitors are doing but basically a little bit better is probably not going to be the winning strategy. The problem is finding what your competitors wouldn't even consider doing.
WinningBetterStrategyProblem
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