American - Businessman | January 14, 1949 -
And so the danger for the housing industry is if we see interest rates rise.
Franklin Raines
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Well, you know, we've got a lot of stimulus in the economy already from the tax cut, from the lowered interest rates, and also from the refinancing of mortgages.
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And so we have to be careful with looking at additional stimulus that we don't provoke an increase in the bond rate and then offset a lot of the stimulus we've already got.
LookingBondBe CarefulGotCareful
I think if you go beyond a year - if this continues into the system in the out years, I think there is a risk and that - that we could have a negative reaction in the bond market and that will offset the good that was attempted to be done.
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Right now we think that rates will stay low, that you'll be able to get a mortgage below seven percent and that's kicked off a refinance boom that's going to put more money in the pockets of consumers.
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So from the housing standpoint, steady as you go, I think, would be the best medicine.
BestMedicineThinkYouGoHousing
Well, I think the best form would be to put money directly in the pockets of consumers.
BestMoneyThinkWellConsumersPut
That is - the reason for that is that home prices are only going to go up. Now, they've never gone down nationwide in our - since we've been keeping track of this.
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Well, we're just now seeing the reductions in mortgage rates. The mortgage rates are based on the ten-year rate and the Fed controls the overnight or the shorter rates.
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We think if the economy remains weak that we could see mortgage rates trail down and we think that we could see rates below seven percent into early next year.
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They flooded liquidity in the marketplace but the mortgage rate is based much more on expectations of inflation. So if the average investor believes that there is inflation coming, they'll move that rate up.
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Right now the long-term investors are telling us that they're not as concerned about inflation and so we're seeing these rates now move into the marketplace and out to the street - rates that individuals can get.
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