American - Author | September 10, 1960 -
It takes only a few seconds to make history new again.
Amity Shlaes
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FDR's job results were, to put it politely, disturbing.
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Europe unified its monetary policy through the euro before it unified politically, therefore sustaining member countries' abilities to pursue the kind of independent fiscal policies that can strain a joint currency.
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If expectations of lifetime earnings drop, then so will spending.
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Many writers, including myself, have detailed how irresponsible government actions slow economic recoveries. Similar behavior by individuals impedes growth, too. If you can't find someone reliable to do a deal with, you simply don't do the deal at all.
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Entitlements seem to grow with prosperity; not only because they are indexed to inflation or GDP, but also because a prosperous country tells itself it can afford more benefits.
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To investors, job creation is a second-order effect. Market participants care first about interest rates, exchange rates, bond prices and the one great factor that affects all three: the long-term solvency of a bond company called the U.S. government.
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Prices don't merely reflect what people think things ought to cost today; they also reflect what people expect items to cost tomorrow.
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